Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.383216 3.787186 4.224976 4.735434 5.315240 5.954445 6.714017
2024-10-20 2.772317 3.303052 3.919173 4.690141 5.633062 6.753785 8.194219
2024-10-27 2.278400 2.841345 3.528799 4.435554 5.608214 7.084483 9.100897
2024-11-03 2.029836 2.628893 3.391933 4.443953 5.870490 7.757127 10.473695
2024-11-10 1.876795 2.511806 3.350916 4.553760 6.254816 8.605971 12.156817
2024-11-17 1.726714 2.377712 3.265920 4.583399 6.517074 9.296866 13.679047
2024-11-24 1.600733 2.261386 3.189153 4.608658 6.764000 9.976553 15.246604
2024-12-01 1.491664 2.157048 3.116438 4.626808 6.993292 10.641401 16.853842
2024-12-08 1.364755 2.014449 2.973265 4.521411 7.015984 10.979542 17.960975
2024-12-15 1.274512 1.918595 2.890611 4.498871 7.161699 11.519196 19.453371
2024-12-22 1.189229 1.823065 2.799643 4.452639 7.260066 11.983476 20.858465
2024-12-29 1.165689 1.821978 2.855800 4.648993 7.779350 13.207157 23.761935
2025-01-05 1.098676 1.747786 2.791154 4.641874 7.955363 13.863089 25.724435
2025-01-12 1.030525 1.666759 2.709062 4.597460 8.060598 14.401708 27.530584
2025-01-19 0.931979 1.528002 2.519813 4.348409 7.769293 14.173377 27.778232
2025-01-26 0.887007 1.477009 2.476508 4.356620 7.955495 14.867848 29.998974
2025-02-02 0.861889 1.458296 2.487458 4.464031 8.338965 15.983901 33.254489
2025-02-09 0.826441 1.418788 2.458275 4.493021 8.570487 16.816771 35.999410
2025-02-16 0.793062 1.380615 2.428504 4.517728 8.794381 17.654720 38.865567
2025-02-23 0.761167 1.342946 2.396798 4.535481 9.004502 18.483250 41.820241
2025-03-02 0.715620 1.277171 2.308068 4.432387 8.951248 18.733177 43.414208
2025-03-09 0.683831 1.235129 2.261415 4.410339 9.067950 19.369377 46.045120
2025-03-16 0.651424 1.189939 2.205718 4.365115 9.129462 19.885357 48.440320